Annual wheat review

              Title of Oklahoma
Publication
Release
Date
Title of Survey the Results are
From
Planted for
All Purposes
Harvested
for Grain
Yield
per Acre
Acres Acres Bushels
Winter Wheat
Seedings 12 Jan 2011 December Ag Survey 5,400,000
Wheat County
Estimates1 19 Feb 2011 Early Crops County Agricultural
Production Survey
Prospective Plantings 31 Mar 2011 March Ag Survey 5,200,000
Wheat Variety 2 29 Apr 2011 Late Crops County Agricultural
Production Survey
Crop Production 11 May 2011 May Ag Yield Survey 5,200,000 3,400,000 22
Crop Production 09 Jun 2011 June Ag Yield Survey 5,200,000 3,400,000 22
Acreage Report 30 Jun 2011 June Ag Survey 5,200,000 3,400,000
Crop Production 12 Jul 2011 July Ag Yield Survey 5,200,000 3,400,000 22
Crop Production 11 Aug 2011 August Ag Yield Survey 5,200,000 3,400,000 22
Small Grains Annual
Summary 30 Sep 2011 September Ag Survey 5,100,000 3,200,000 22
ACREAGE, YIELD, PRODUCTION, PRICE AND VALUE
Winter Wheat: Estimating Program for Oklahoma, Crop Year 2011
GENERAL INFORMATION
USDA-NASS
OKLAHOMA
FIELD OFFICE
VOLUME 2, ISSUE 1 SEPTEMBER 2011
Estimate not made for shaded areas. Unless noted, all estimates are at the state level. 1 State, district and county level estimates for
2010 crop year. 2 Estimates made by variety for state and districts.
Winter Wheat: Acreage, Yield, Production, Price and Value,
Oklahoma, 2007-2011 and Historic
The USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics
Service program for wheat includes a number of
estimates that are made on a schedule spanning the
entire crop year. The inclusion of any state in the na-tional
program is dependent on that state’s portion of
the national wheat crop.
The survey data used to estimate wheat come from
series of Quarterly Ag and the Small Grains County Agricul-tural
Production (CAPS) surveys. In December, produc-ers
are asked about wheat seeded acres for the upcom-ing
crop year. In March and June, producers are asked
what they actually planted and how many acres they
expect to harvest. In September for both the quarterly
and CAPS surveys, producers are asked about their
final acreage and yield for the crop year. These data
are used for the final acreage and production estimates
and also set the county acreages and production across
the state.
Monthly yield per acre estimates are based on both
data reported by producers (Agricultural Yield survey),
as well as data collected from field observations (Wheat
Objective Yield survey). Both surveys are conducted
from May through August and provide monthly assess-ments
on the production potential of the crop. The
Wheat Objective Yield survey collects field observations
by laying out small plots in approximately 180 ran-domly
selected fields across the state. Counts are made
and clippings are taken for analysis through harvest.
Gross yield per acre and post harvest loss are combined
to determine an indication of net yield per acre.
Winter Wheat: Production, Oklahoma, 2010
ANNUAL WHEAT REVIEW
Sources: USDA-NASS Small Grains Annual Summary, monthly Agricultural Prices report and annual Wheat County Estimates
1 Values are based on the August 2011 full month price received.
WELCOME to the second issue of the Annual Wheat
Review! Thank you to all the participants from the
wheat industry for their continued support and coop-eration-
especially the producers who provide data on
the Quarterly Ag, Monthly Ag Yield, and Small Grain
County Agricultural Production surveys. Without your
commitment and participation, this report would not
be available.
This publication is a compilation of related reports
issued by USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics
Service (NASS) in an effort to provide a complete
source of statistics relevant to the wheat industry.
Though many of the statistics in this publication can be
accessed through our website, www.nass.usda.gov/
Publications, this Oklahoma Field Office summary will
be issued annually in September.
Please feel free to contact our office with any com-ments
or questions you may have.
Wilbert Hundl, Jr., Director
USDA-NASS, Oklahoma Field Office
Crop
Year
Planted for
all Purposes
Harvested
For Grain
Yield
Per Acre Production Price per
Bushel
Value of
Production
Value per
Harvested Acre
1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels 1,000 Bushels Dollars 1,000 Dollars Dollars
1980 7,500 6,500 30 195,000 3.88 756,600 116.00
1985 7,800 5,500 30 165,000 2.91 480,150 87.00
1990 7,400 6,200 32 198,400 2.57 509,888 82.00
1995 6,800 5,200 21 109,200 4.41 481,572 93.00
2000 6,100 4,200 34 142,800 2.57 366,996 87.00
2005 5,700 4,000 32 128,000 3.39 433,920 108.00
2007 5,900 3,500 28 98,000 6.22 609,560 174.00
2008 5,600 4,500 37 166,500 6.93 1,153,845 256.00
2009 5,700 3,500 22 77,000 4.89 376,530 108.00
2010 5,300 3,900 31 120,900 5.10 616,590 158.00
2011 5,100 3,200 22 70,400 7.781 547,7121 171.001
* 2011 county-level data will
be available February 2012
Osage
Ellis
Beaver
Cimarron Kay
Le Flore
McCurtain
Caddo
Woods
Grady
Texas
3
Atoka
Kiowa
Major
Pittsburg
Creek
Bryan
Harper
Custer
Blaine
Dewey
Craig
Lincoln
Carter
Noble
Tillman
Woodward
Garvin
Pushmataha
Logan
Greer
Payne
Roger Mills
Hughes
Coal
Adair
Comanche
Love
Mayes
Beckham
Jackson
Rogers
Latimer
Canadian
Stephens
Cotton
Kingfisher
Jefferson Choctaw
Grant
1
Haskell
Muskogee
Pontotoc
McIntosh
Nowata
Johnston
Oklahoma Sequoyah
Alfalfa
4
Ottawa
Garfield
2
Wagoner
Washita
5
Tulsa
Delaware
Cherokee
Pawnee
McClain
Okmulgee
Seminole
Okfuskee
Harmon
Pottawatomie
Murray
Cleveland
Marshall
Washington
Bushels
Not Published
Less than 1 million
1 million to 5 million
Greater than 5 million
Central District:
Seeded Acres: 750,000
South Central District:
Seeded Acres: 180,000
Panhandle District:
Seeded Acres: 700,000 North Central District:
Seeded Acres: 1,400,000
Other Districts:
Seeded Acres: 220,000
Southwest District:
Seeded Acres: 1,150,000
West Central District:
Seeded Acres: 800,000
Winter Wheat Varieties: Top Five by District, Oklahoma, Crop Year 2011
PAGE 2 ANNUAL WHEAT REVIEW
WHEAT SEEDING
CROP PROGRESS AND CONDITION
Winter Wheat: Crop Condition, Oklahoma, Crop Year 2011
Winter Wheat: Seeded Acres, by District,
Oklahoma, 2011Crop Year
Wheat crop estimation begins in December when producers report acreage planted in the fall during the December Agricultural survey. Using
the results of this survey, wheat seeded acreages are derived for each district across the state.
In conjunction with the annual Small Grains County Agricultural Production survey conducted in the late fall, data is also collected for the annual Wheat
Variety survey, which publish approximately 40 different varieties planted by producers across the state. Endurance remained the number one
wheat variety in Oklahoma for the second year.
Winter wheat crop progress and conditions are published on a weekly basis beginning in September with planting through the first week of
December, concluding when most of the crop has emerged. Crop progress is then reconvened in March when the crop begins to head, and con-tinues
through the harvest season.
Apr 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 May 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 Jun 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jul 3
District Ranking #1 Ranking #2 Ranking #3 Ranking #4 Ranking #5 All Other
Hard
All Other
Soft Unknown
Variety % Variety % Variety % Variety % Variety % % % %
Panhandle TAM 111 22.1 Endurance 14.9 Jagalene 7.5 Duster 7.0 TAM 112 5.1 40.7 0.0 2.7
West Central Duster 24.6 Endurance 24.4 Jagger 12.7 OK Bullet 8.0 Fuller 6.5 20.3 0.0 3.5
Southwest Jagger 18.0 Endurance 17.4 Duster 16.4 OK Bullet 11.2 Fuller 9.0 24.4 0.6 3.0
North Central Endurance 20.2 Duster 19.2 Fuller 7.4 OK Bullet 7.1 Santa Fe 6.2 32.6 0.0 7.3
Central Duster 21.6 Endurance 20.1 Jagger 8.3 OK Bullet 5.7 Fuller 4.6 34.3 1.0 4.4
South Central Endurance 17.9 Jagger 11.5 Custer 2.5 Duster 1.4 OK Bullet 1.3 36.8 12.3 16.3
Other Districts Endurance 9.7 Jagger 3.0 2174 2.9 OK Bullet 2.8 2137 2.8 54.5 10.6 13.7
State Endurance 18.9 Duster 16.4 Jagger 10.0 OK Bullet 7.2 Fuller 5.8 35.1 1.2 5.4
Sources: USDA-NASS annual Crop Production report, Oklahoma Wheat Variety and Oklahoma Wheat Variety by Grain Shed reports
Winter Wheat: Grain Shed Areas,
Oklahoma, 2011 Crop Year
0 %
20 %
40 %
60 %
80 %
100 %
Oct 24 Oct 31 Nov 7 Nov 14 Nov 21 Nov 28
Excellent
Good
Fair
Poor
Very Poor
Condition:
September October November
Planted Emerged
0 %
10 %
20 %
30 %
40 %
50 %
70 %
80 %
90 %
100 %
Percent Progress
60 %
Winter Wheat: Crop Progress of Activity, Oklahoma, Crop Years 2011, 2010 and Five Year Average
2011 Crop
2010 Crop
5 Year Average
Progress
April May June July
Headed Harvested
Source: USDA-NASS weekly Crop Progress report
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug
Inches
2010-11 2009-10 5 year average
$0.00
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
$5.00
$6.00
$7.00
$8.00
$9.00
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan-10
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan-11
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Price
Dollars per Bushel
Stocks
Million Bushels
Total Ending Stocks Projected Total Ending Stocks Monthly Prices Projected Monthly Prices
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012
$0.00
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
$5.00
$6.00
$7.00
$8.00
$9.00
$10.00
Percent Marketed
Percent
Price
Dollars per Bushel
Monthly Marketings Monthly Prices Preliminary Monthly Price MYA
Winter Wheat: Monthly Ending Stock Totals, Final and Projected, and Prices, Final and Preliminary,
United States, June 2009-September 2011
World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) reports are prepared monthly and include forecasts for United States and
world commodities. The reports are a balance sheet estimating supply (beginning stocks, imports and production) and demand (domestic use, ex-ports
and ending stocks). Forecast season-average farm prices tie together both sides of the balance sheet.
The projected U.S. wheat ending stocks for 2011/12 were raised 90 million bushels for September as higher imports and lower food use and ex-ports
are expected. The season average farm price for wheat is projected at $7.35 to $8.35 per bushel, which is supported by the higher corn prices.
ENDING STOCKS
VOLUME 2, ISSUE 1 PAGE 3
Prices received by producers are
monthly average price estimates based on
data collected from grain elevators across
the state and are published in our monthly
USDA-NASS Agricultural Prices report.
The average price for wheat in Okla-homa
for August 2011 was $7.78 per
bushel, up $1.94 per bushel from a year
ago. The preliminary price for September
was set at $7.43 per bushel.
Oklahoma’s marketing year for winter
wheat runs from June-May. Marketing
percents by month and market year aver-age
price (MYA) are calculated annually
and released at the end of August.
Sources: USDA-WAOB monthly World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates Report and USDA-NASS monthly Agricultural Prices report
Source: USDA-NASS monthly Agricultural Prices report
Sources: NOAA, National Climatic Center (http://drought.unl.edu/dm) and Oklahoma Mesonet
Winter Wheat: Monthly Marketing Percent and Price Received, Final MYA,
Oklahoma, 2009-2011
Projected Monthly Price Range
U.S. Drought Monitor, Sep 27, 2011
MARKETINGS AND PRICES
Average Precipitation, by Month,
Oklahoma, 2009-2011 and Historic
Dbl. Crop WinWht/Cotton
Dbl. Crop WinWht/Soy
Winter Wheat
Winter Wheat, Crop Year 2010
OUR CONFIDENTIALITY PLEDGE
● Names, addresses, and personal identifiers are fully protected by NASS with
the force of law. Title 7, U.S. Code, Section 2276 and the Confidential Information Pro-tection
and Statistical Efficiency Act prohibit public disclosure of individual informa-tion.
● Only authorized persons working for NASS as employees or sworn agents,
who are subject to fines and imprisonment for unauthorized disclosure, can access individual
record data and only for approved official purposes. ● Data security is a top priority
during preparation of NASS reports. ● Published statistics from NASS surveys and cen-suses
will not disclose reported data from an individual.
IINFORMATTIION IIS POWER
Find us on the web at:
www.nass.usda.gov/ok
USDA-NASS
OKLAHOMA FIELD OFFICE
PHONE:
405-522-6190
FAX:
405-528-2296
E-MAIL:
nass-ok@nass.usda.gov
Wilbert C. Hundl, Jr., Director
Dave Ranek, Deputy Director
USDA-NASS
Oklahoma Field Office
PO Box 528804
Oklahoma City, OK 73152-8804
OFFICIAL BUSINESS
ADDRESS SERVICE REQUESTED
PRESORTED
FIRST-CLASS MAIL
POSTAGE & FEES PAID
NATIONAL AGRICULTURAL
STATISTICS SERVICE
PERMIT NO. G-38
TO OKLAHOMA WHEAT PRODUCERS:
This report contains results collected
from various ongoing crop surveys.
Your operation, large or small, repre-sents
Oklahoma agriculture. We ap-preciate
your assistance in providing
timely and accurate data. Thank you
for your cooperation.
~Wilbert C Hundl, Jr., Director
USDA-NASS Oklahoma Field Office
Source: USDA-NASS 2010 Cropland Data Layer
Double Crop: Winter Wheat /Cotton
Double Crop: Winter Wheat/Soybeans
Winter